Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap in the $1.5T–$2.0T range at 51.5% implied probability, propelled by reports of an imminent confidential filing this week targeting up to $1.75T valuation and $75 billion raise—potentially the largest ever—following tender offers that escalated from $800B in December 2025 to $1.25T in February 2026. Starlink's commercial dominance, now comprising the vast majority of revenue ahead of NASA contracts, alongside Starship's reusable rocket milestones like upcoming Flight 12 and V3 preparations, underpin this positioning amid competitive launch market leadership. Lower odds for higher brackets reflect valuation caution despite Elon Musk's retail investor allocation plans, with a mid-June debut eyed as the key catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$1.865T
1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.5%
$1,038,815 交易量
$1,038,815 交易量
<1.0T
2%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
52%
2.0T-2.5T
24%
2.5T-3.0T
6%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3.5兆+
2%
No IPO before 2028
3%
1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.5%
$1,038,815 交易量
$1,038,815 交易量
<1.0T
$10,512 交易量
2%
1.0T-1.5T
$7,246 交易量
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$9,354 交易量
52%
2.0T-2.5T
$9,026 交易量
24%
2.5T-3.0T
$462,664 交易量
6%
3.0T-3.5T
$372,526 交易量
3%
3.5兆+
$9,817 交易量
2%
No IPO before 2028
$157,669 交易量
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap in the $1.5T–$2.0T range at 51.5% implied probability, propelled by reports of an imminent confidential filing this week targeting up to $1.75T valuation and $75 billion raise—potentially the largest ever—following tender offers that escalated from $800B in December 2025 to $1.25T in February 2026. Starlink's commercial dominance, now comprising the vast majority of revenue ahead of NASA contracts, alongside Starship's reusable rocket milestones like upcoming Flight 12 and V3 preparations, underpin this positioning amid competitive launch market leadership. Lower odds for higher brackets reflect valuation caution despite Elon Musk's retail investor allocation plans, with a mid-June debut eyed as the key catalyst.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
交易量
$1,038,815市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap in the $1.5T–$2.0T range at 51.5% implied probability, propelled by reports of an imminent confidential filing this week targeting up to $1.75T valuation and $75 billion raise—potentially the largest ever—following tender offers that escalated from $800B in December 2025 to $1.25T in February 2026. Starlink's commercial dominance, now comprising the vast majority of revenue ahead of NASA contracts, alongside Starship's reusable rocket milestones like upcoming Flight 12 and V3 preparations, underpin this positioning amid competitive launch market leadership. Lower odds for higher brackets reflect valuation caution despite Elon Musk's retail investor allocation plans, with a mid-June debut eyed as the key catalyst.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$1,038,815市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap in the $1.5T–$2.0T range at 51.5% implied probability, propelled by reports of an imminent confidential filing this week targeting up to $1.75T valuation and $75 billion raise—potentially the largest ever—following tender offers that escalated from $800B in December 2025 to $1.25T in February 2026. Starlink's commercial dominance, now comprising the vast majority of revenue ahead of NASA contracts, alongside Starship's reusable rocket milestones like upcoming Flight 12 and V3 preparations, underpin this positioning amid competitive launch market leadership. Lower odds for higher brackets reflect valuation caution despite Elon Musk's retail investor allocation plans, with a mid-June debut eyed as the key catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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