Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5-2.0 trillion at 50.5% implied probability, driven by late-March 2026 reports of the company preparing a prospectus filing this week for a potential mid-June listing targeting $1.5-1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise. This aligns with surging Starlink satellite constellation revenue—projected at $16 billion for 2025—and Starship reusable rocket milestones enabling orbital refueling and Mars ambitions, following a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. The adjacent $2.0-2.5 trillion outcome at 24.5% reflects optimism for further upside from global direct-to-cell spectrum deals and AI-integrated space data centers, though Starship test delays or regulatory hurdles could shift odds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$1,542,807 交易量
$1,542,807 交易量
<1.0T
3%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
51%
2.0T-2.5T
25%
2.5T-3.0T
6%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3.5兆+
3%
No IPO before 2028
3%
$1,542,807 交易量
$1,542,807 交易量
<1.0T
$15,515 交易量
3%
1.0T-1.5T
$11,346 交易量
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$16,723 交易量
51%
2.0T-2.5T
$17,910 交易量
25%
2.5T-3.0T
$776,401 交易量
6%
3.0T-3.5T
$434,051 交易量
3%
3.5兆+
$32,701 交易量
3%
No IPO before 2028
$238,160 交易量
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5-2.0 trillion at 50.5% implied probability, driven by late-March 2026 reports of the company preparing a prospectus filing this week for a potential mid-June listing targeting $1.5-1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise. This aligns with surging Starlink satellite constellation revenue—projected at $16 billion for 2025—and Starship reusable rocket milestones enabling orbital refueling and Mars ambitions, following a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. The adjacent $2.0-2.5 trillion outcome at 24.5% reflects optimism for further upside from global direct-to-cell spectrum deals and AI-integrated space data centers, though Starship test delays or regulatory hurdles could shift odds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
交易量
$1,542,807市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5-2.0 trillion at 50.5% implied probability, driven by late-March 2026 reports of the company preparing a prospectus filing this week for a potential mid-June listing targeting $1.5-1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise. This aligns with surging Starlink satellite constellation revenue—projected at $16 billion for 2025—and Starship reusable rocket milestones enabling orbital refueling and Mars ambitions, following a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. The adjacent $2.0-2.5 trillion outcome at 24.5% reflects optimism for further upside from global direct-to-cell spectrum deals and AI-integrated space data centers, though Starship test delays or regulatory hurdles could shift odds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$1,542,807市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5-2.0 trillion at 50.5% implied probability, driven by late-March 2026 reports of the company preparing a prospectus filing this week for a potential mid-June listing targeting $1.5-1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise. This aligns with surging Starlink satellite constellation revenue—projected at $16 billion for 2025—and Starship reusable rocket milestones enabling orbital refueling and Mars ambitions, following a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. The adjacent $2.0-2.5 trillion outcome at 24.5% reflects optimism for further upside from global direct-to-cell spectrum deals and AI-integrated space data centers, though Starship test delays or regulatory hurdles could shift odds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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