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科技·大型科技公司

SpaceX IPO收市市值（最低罷工）

Market icon
科技·大型科技公司

SpaceX IPO收市市值（最低罷工）

1 兆+ 96%

2028 年前不會 IPO 3.2%

9,000億–1兆 <1%

低於5000億 <1%

Polymarket

$2,938,267 交易量

1 兆+ 96%

2028 年前不會 IPO 3.2%

9,000億–1兆 <1%

低於5000億 <1%

Polymarket

$2,938,267 交易量

低於5000億

$331,881 交易量

<1%

5,000億–6,000億

$265,640 交易量

<1%

6000 億–7000 億

$242,061 交易量

<1%

7,000億–8,000億

$266,629 交易量

<1%

8000億–9000億

$437,024 交易量

<1%

9,000億–1兆

$366,086 交易量

1%

1 兆+

$519,493 交易量

96%

2028 年前不會 IPO

$509,452 交易量

3%

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential IPO filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a mid-year listing and up to $1.75 trillion valuation, has solidified trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability for a closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion, reflecting the company's explosive growth in Starlink's satellite internet constellation—projected at $16 billion revenue in 2025—and dominance in reusable rocket launches with 97% U.S. market share. Recent tender offers valuing the firm at $800 billion underscore surging private-market demand, bolstered by Starship milestones and potential xAI synergies. While a thin 3-4% float and Elon Musk's control introduce volatility risks, realistic challenges include SEC review delays, macroeconomic shifts, or regulatory scrutiny on national security-sensitive space tech, with key catalysts ahead in the prospectus release and June debut.

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$2,938,267
結束日期
2027-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential IPO filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a mid-year listing and up to $1.75 trillion valuation, has solidified trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability for a closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion, reflecting the company's explosive growth in Starlink's satellite internet constellation—projected at $16 billion revenue in 2025—and dominance in reusable rocket launches with 97% U.S. market share. Recent tender offers valuing the firm at $800 billion underscore surging private-market demand, bolstered by Starship milestones and potential xAI synergies. While a thin 3-4% float and Elon Musk's control introduce volatility risks, realistic challenges include SEC review delays, macroeconomic shifts, or regulatory scrutiny on national security-sensitive space tech, with key catalysts ahead in the prospectus release and June debut.

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$2,938,267
結束日期
2027-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"SpaceX IPO收市市值（最低罷工）" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1 兆+" at 96%, followed by "2028 年前不會 IPO" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SpaceX IPO收市市值（最低罷工）" has generated $2.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SpaceX IPO收市市值（最低罷工）," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SpaceX IPO收市市值（最低罷工）" is "1 兆+" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2028 年前不會 IPO" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SpaceX IPO收市市值（最低罷工）" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.