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選舉·世界選舉

2028年總統選舉贏家

Market icon
選舉·世界選舉

2028年總統選舉贏家

JD Vance 17.8%

加文·紐森 17.1%

馬可·魯比歐 10.4%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 5.7%

Polymarket

$465,780,898 交易量

JD Vance 17.8%

加文·紐森 17.1%

馬可·魯比歐 10.4%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 5.7%

Polymarket

$465,780,898 交易量

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JD Vance

$9,050,184 交易量

18%

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加文·紐森

$6,647,625 交易量

17%

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馬可·魯比歐

$5,233,484 交易量

10%

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亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$10,323,033 交易量

6%

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喬恩·奧索夫

$2,887,831 交易量

3%

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卡馬拉·哈里斯

$6,415,422 交易量

3%

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塔克·卡爾森

$9,110,814 交易量

3%

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喬希·夏皮羅

$5,290,611 交易量

2%

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唐納德·川普

$6,366,955 交易量

2%

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皮特·布塔朱吉

$3,432,431 交易量

2%

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JB Pritzker

$9,099,818 交易量

2%

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羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$5,733,220 交易量

2%

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德韋恩·「巨石」·強森

$5,538,579 交易量

1%

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詹姆斯·塔拉里科

$3,696,402 交易量

1%

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安迪·貝希爾

$14,872,653 交易量

1%

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伊萬卡·川普

$3,936,734 交易量

1%

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傑米·戴蒙

$7,005,519 交易量

1%

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米歇爾·奧巴馬

$13,156,930 交易量

1%

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埃隆·馬斯克

$21,606,870 交易量

1%

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格雷琴·惠特默

$7,454,092 交易量

1%

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Greg Abbott

$31,261,854 交易量

1%

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韋斯·摩爾

$5,486,185 交易量

1%

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唐納德·川普二世

$8,306,607 交易量

1%

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妮基·黑利

$20,701,369 交易量

1%

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羅·卡納

$5,393,152 交易量

1%

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托馬斯·馬西

$3,230,207 交易量

1%

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圖西·加巴德

$27,042,106 交易量

1%

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提姆·沃茲

$38,268,384 交易量

1%

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格倫·揚金

$19,603,918 交易量

1%

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史蒂芬·史密斯

$28,006,644 交易量

1%

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維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米

$28,679,096 交易量

1%

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祖蘭·曼達尼

$16,051,030 交易量

1%

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埃里克·川普

$4,752,959 交易量

1%

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金·卡戴珊

$28,603,276 交易量

1%

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彼特·赫格塞斯

$1,465,481 交易量

1%

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勒布朗·詹姆斯

$42,130,574 交易量

<1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tightly contested early 2028 presidential race, with Vice President JD Vance at 17.8% and California Governor Gavin Newsom at 17.1% as co-frontrunners, followed closely by Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 10.4%, amid high uncertainty two years before primaries. Vance's odds have plunged to an all-time low in recent weeks, pressured by President Trump's Iran policy actions and erratic statements eroding GOP momentum, while Newsom gained from leading Democratic primary polls, including a March California survey showing a 14-point edge over Kamala Harris. Rubio surged on his visible diplomatic role in geopolitical operations. The 2026 midterms, candidate announcements, and Trump administration performance could create separation in this fluid field.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tightly contested early 2028 presidential race, with Vice President JD Vance at 17.8% and California Governor Gavin Newsom at 17.1% as co-frontrunners, followed closely by Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 10.4%, amid high uncertainty two years before primaries. Vance's odds have plunged to an all-time low in recent weeks, pressured by President Trump's Iran policy actions and erratic statements eroding GOP momentum, while Newsom gained from leading Democratic primary polls, including a March California survey showing a 14-point edge over Kamala Harris. Rubio surged on his visible diplomatic role in geopolitical operations. The 2026 midterms, candidate announcements, and Trump administration performance could create separation in this fluid field.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tightly contested early 2028 presidential race, with Vice President JD Vance at 17.8% and California Governor Gavin Newsom at 17.1% as co-frontrunners, followed closely by Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 10.4%, amid high uncertainty two years before primaries. Vance's odds have plunged to an all-time low in recent weeks, pressured by President Trump's Iran policy actions and erratic statements eroding GOP momentum, while Newsom gained from leading Democratic primary polls, including a March California survey showing a 14-point edge over Kamala Harris. Rubio surged on his visible diplomatic role in geopolitical operations. The 2026 midterms, candidate announcements, and Trump administration performance could create separation in this fluid field.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tightly contested early 2028 presidential race, with Vice President JD Vance at 17.8% and California Governor Gavin Newsom at 17.1% as co-frontrunners, followed closely by Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 10.4%, amid high uncertainty two years before primaries. Vance's odds have plunged to an all-time low in recent weeks, pressured by President Trump's Iran policy actions and erratic statements eroding GOP momentum, while Newsom gained from leading Democratic primary polls, including a March California survey showing a 14-point edge over Kamala Harris. Rubio surged on his visible diplomatic role in geopolitical operations. The 2026 midterms, candidate announcements, and Trump administration performance could create separation in this fluid field.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年總統選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "JD Vance" at 18%, followed by "加文·紐森" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年總統選舉贏家" has generated $465.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年總統選舉贏家," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年總統選舉贏家" is "JD Vance" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "加文·紐森" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年總統選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.