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美國國債在2027年之前達到峯值？

Market icon

美國國債在2027年之前達到峯值？

12月 31

12月 31

最新
2026-12-31
Polymarket

$8,823 交易量

Polymarket

40兆美元

$4,643 交易量

95%

41兆美元

$386 交易量

40%

42兆美元

$3,794 交易量

10%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.The US national debt recently surpassed $39 trillion in gross terms as of mid-March 2026, reflecting ongoing federal budget deficits that totaled over $1 trillion through February, though slightly below the prior year's pace. The Congressional Budget Office's February 2026 baseline projects a $1.9 trillion deficit for fiscal year 2026, with annual shortfalls averaging $2.4 trillion from 2027 to 2036, pushing debt held by the public from $31 trillion toward 120 percent of GDP by 2036—no peak in sight under current law. July 2025's debt ceiling increase to $41.1 trillion delays brinkmanship until late 2026. Traders weigh persistent spending pressures, rising interest costs exceeding $1 trillion annually, and slim prospects for deficit reduction via appropriations or reconciliation before 2027 midterms.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
交易量
$8,823
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.The US national debt recently surpassed $39 trillion in gross terms as of mid-March 2026, reflecting ongoing federal budget deficits that totaled over $1 trillion through February, though slightly below the prior year's pace. The Congressional Budget Office's February 2026 baseline projects a $1.9 trillion deficit for fiscal year 2026, with annual shortfalls averaging $2.4 trillion from 2027 to 2036, pushing debt held by the public from $31 trillion toward 120 percent of GDP by 2036—no peak in sight under current law. July 2025's debt ceiling increase to $41.1 trillion delays brinkmanship until late 2026. Traders weigh persistent spending pressures, rising interest costs exceeding $1 trillion annually, and slim prospects for deficit reduction via appropriations or reconciliation before 2027 midterms.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
交易量
$8,823
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"美國國債在2027年之前達到峯值？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "39兆美元" at 100%, followed by "40兆美元" at 95%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"美國國債在2027年之前達到峯值？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 5, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "美國國債在2027年之前達到峯值？," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "美國國債在2027年之前達到峯值？" is "39兆美元" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40兆美元" at 95%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "美國國債在2027年之前達到峯值？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.