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Nguesso在2026年12月31日之前擔任剛果共和國總統？

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Nguesso在2026年12月31日之前擔任剛果共和國總統？

是

14% chance
Polymarket

$10,497 交易量

是

14% chance
Polymarket

$10,497 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Denis Sassou Nguesso ceases to be President of the Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Denis Sassou Nguesso's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Denis Sassou Nguesso and the government of the Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Denis Sassou Nguesso's re-election on March 15, 2026, with 94.82% of the vote per official results announced March 17 drives the 86.5% implied probability traders assign to him remaining in office through 2026. The incumbent, seeking a fifth term amid a fragmented opposition—many leaders jailed or boycotting—faced minimal challengers, securing a mandate extending to 2031 despite claims of low turnout and irregularities. No verified reports of health issues, resignation, or institutional challenges have emerged in the weeks since, shifting focus to potential succession dynamics within his ruling Congolese Labour Party. Upcoming parliamentary polls and diplomatic engagements could influence stability, but current trader consensus reflects his entrenched position.

President Denis Sassou Nguesso's re-election on March 15, 2026, with 94.82% of the vote per official results announced March 17 drives the 86.5% implied probability traders assign to him remaining in office through 2026. The incumbent, seeking a fifth term amid a fragmented opposition—many leaders jailed or boycotting—faced minimal challengers, securing a mandate extending to 2031 despite claims of low turnout and irregularities. No verified reports of health issues, resignation, or institutional challenges have emerged in the weeks since, shifting focus to potential succession dynamics within his ruling Congolese Labour Party. Upcoming parliamentary polls and diplomatic engagements could influence stability, but current trader consensus reflects his entrenched position.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Denis Sassou Nguesso ceases to be President of the Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Denis Sassou Nguesso's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Denis Sassou Nguesso and the government of the Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Denis Sassou Nguesso's re-election on March 15, 2026, with 94.82% of the vote per official results announced March 17 drives the 86.5% implied probability traders assign to him remaining in office through 2026. The incumbent, seeking a fifth term amid a fragmented opposition—many leaders jailed or boycotting—faced minimal challengers, securing a mandate extending to 2031 despite claims of low turnout and irregularities. No verified reports of health issues, resignation, or institutional challenges have emerged in the weeks since, shifting focus to potential succession dynamics within his ruling Congolese Labour Party. Upcoming parliamentary polls and diplomatic engagements could influence stability, but current trader consensus reflects his entrenched position.

President Denis Sassou Nguesso's re-election on March 15, 2026, with 94.82% of the vote per official results announced March 17 drives the 86.5% implied probability traders assign to him remaining in office through 2026. The incumbent, seeking a fifth term amid a fragmented opposition—many leaders jailed or boycotting—faced minimal challengers, securing a mandate extending to 2031 despite claims of low turnout and irregularities. No verified reports of health issues, resignation, or institutional challenges have emerged in the weeks since, shifting focus to potential succession dynamics within his ruling Congolese Labour Party. Upcoming parliamentary polls and diplomatic engagements could influence stability, but current trader consensus reflects his entrenched position.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nguesso在2026年12月31日之前擔任剛果共和國總統？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "到2026年12月31日，恩格索會卸任剛果共和國總統嗎？" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nguesso在2026年12月31日之前擔任剛果共和國總統？" has generated $10.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nguesso在2026年12月31日之前擔任剛果共和國總統？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nguesso在2026年12月31日之前擔任剛果共和國總統？" is "到2026年12月31日，恩格索會卸任剛果共和國總統嗎？" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nguesso在2026年12月31日之前擔任剛果共和國總統？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.