Market icon
科技·大型科技公司

蘋果的下一任首席執行官？

Market icon
科技·大型科技公司

蘋果的下一任首席執行官？

約翰·特努斯 43%

Sabih Khan 16%

Greg Joswiak 13.5%

Craig Federighi 9.3%

Polymarket

$668,511 交易量

約翰·特努斯 43%

Sabih Khan 16%

Greg Joswiak 13.5%

Craig Federighi 9.3%

Polymarket

$668,511 交易量

約翰·特努斯

$579,311 交易量

43%

Sabih Khan

$7,761 交易量

16%

Greg Joswiak

$49,959 交易量

13%

Craig Federighi

$31,481 交易量

9%

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions John Ternus, Apple's senior vice president of hardware engineering, as the frontrunner at 42.5% implied probability to succeed Tim Cook, propelled by a March 22 Bloomberg profile highlighting his oversight of devices generating 80% of revenue, recent expansion into design leadership, and reputation for reversing product quality declines amid close collaboration with software chief Craig Federighi. Sabih Khan's 15% follows his July 2025 promotion to chief operating officer, bolstering supply chain expertise crucial for manufacturing and global operations. Greg Joswiak (13.5%, worldwide marketing SVP) and Craig Federighi (9.3%, software engineering SVP) trail due to their long tenures but less recent spotlight, as Cook dismissed retirement rumors on March 17 while Apple marks its 50th anniversary with ongoing succession speculation.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.

Interim CEOs will not qualify.

If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
交易量
$668,511
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 18, 2025, 3:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions John Ternus, Apple's senior vice president of hardware engineering, as the frontrunner at 42.5% implied probability to succeed Tim Cook, propelled by a March 22 Bloomberg profile highlighting his oversight of devices generating 80% of revenue, recent expansion into design leadership, and reputation for reversing product quality declines amid close collaboration with software chief Craig Federighi. Sabih Khan's 15% follows his July 2025 promotion to chief operating officer, bolstering supply chain expertise crucial for manufacturing and global operations. Greg Joswiak (13.5%, worldwide marketing SVP) and Craig Federighi (9.3%, software engineering SVP) trail due to their long tenures but less recent spotlight, as Cook dismissed retirement rumors on March 17 while Apple marks its 50th anniversary with ongoing succession speculation.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.

Interim CEOs will not qualify.

If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
交易量
$668,511
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 18, 2025, 3:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"蘋果的下一任首席執行官？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "約翰·特努斯" at 43%, followed by "Sabih Khan" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "蘋果的下一任首席執行官？" has generated $668.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "蘋果的下一任首席執行官？," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "蘋果的下一任首席執行官？" is "約翰·特努斯" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sabih Khan" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "蘋果的下一任首席執行官？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.