Trader consensus on Polymarket positions John Ternus, Apple's senior vice president of hardware engineering, as the frontrunner at 42.5% implied probability to succeed Tim Cook, propelled by a March 22 Bloomberg profile highlighting his oversight of devices generating 80% of revenue, recent expansion into design leadership, and reputation for reversing product quality declines amid close collaboration with software chief Craig Federighi. Sabih Khan's 15% follows his July 2025 promotion to chief operating officer, bolstering supply chain expertise crucial for manufacturing and global operations. Greg Joswiak (13.5%, worldwide marketing SVP) and Craig Federighi (9.3%, software engineering SVP) trail due to their long tenures but less recent spotlight, as Cook dismissed retirement rumors on March 17 while Apple marks its 50th anniversary with ongoing succession speculation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於約翰·特努斯 43%
Sabih Khan 16%
Greg Joswiak 13.5%
Craig Federighi 9.3%
$668,511 交易量
$668,511 交易量
約翰·特努斯
43%
Sabih Khan
16%
Greg Joswiak
13%
Craig Federighi
9%
約翰·特努斯 43%
Sabih Khan 16%
Greg Joswiak 13.5%
Craig Federighi 9.3%
$668,511 交易量
$668,511 交易量
約翰·特努斯
43%
Sabih Khan
16%
Greg Joswiak
13%
Craig Federighi
9%
An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.
Interim CEOs will not qualify.
If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
市場開放時間: Nov 18, 2025, 3:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.
Interim CEOs will not qualify.
If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions John Ternus, Apple's senior vice president of hardware engineering, as the frontrunner at 42.5% implied probability to succeed Tim Cook, propelled by a March 22 Bloomberg profile highlighting his oversight of devices generating 80% of revenue, recent expansion into design leadership, and reputation for reversing product quality declines amid close collaboration with software chief Craig Federighi. Sabih Khan's 15% follows his July 2025 promotion to chief operating officer, bolstering supply chain expertise crucial for manufacturing and global operations. Greg Joswiak (13.5%, worldwide marketing SVP) and Craig Federighi (9.3%, software engineering SVP) trail due to their long tenures but less recent spotlight, as Cook dismissed retirement rumors on March 17 while Apple marks its 50th anniversary with ongoing succession speculation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions