在下次聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？

在下次聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？

Ended: Mar 18

Apr 29

Ended: Mar 18

Apr 29

1 100.0%

0 <1%

2 <1%

3 <1%

$0.00 交易量

$0.00 交易量

Mar 18, 2026

0

$0 交易量

否

1

$0 交易量

是

2

$0 交易量

否

3

$0 交易量

否

4人以上

$0 交易量

否

1 100.0%

0 <1%

2 <1%

3 <1%

$0.00 交易量

$0.00 交易量

Mar 18, 2026

0

$0 交易量

否

1

$0 交易量

是

2

$0 交易量

否

3

$0 交易量

否

4人以上

$0 交易量

否

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices exactly one dissent at the July 30-31 FOMC meeting at virtually 100%, reflecting divisions exposed in the June dot plot where only nine policymakers projected a 2024 rate cut versus four seeing none. This positioning stems from hawkish voices like Michelle Bowman and Lisa Cook signaling resistance to premature easing amid sticky inflation above 2%, echoing rare single dissents during past policy pivots like 2019. Supporting factors include unanimous June votes but heated minutes debate on cut timing, with CME FedWatch implying a hold. Challenges could arise from cooler July CPI (due July 11) fostering unity or unexpectedly hot data sparking multiple hawkish no's.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 18, 2026, 9:07 PM UTC

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices exactly one dissent at the July 30-31 FOMC meeting at virtually 100%, reflecting divisions exposed in the June dot plot where only nine policymakers projected a 2024 rate cut versus four seeing none. This positioning stems from hawkish voices like Michelle Bowman and Lisa Cook signaling resistance to premature easing amid sticky inflation above 2%, echoing rare single dissents during past policy pivots like 2019. Supporting factors include unanimous June votes but heated minutes debate on cut timing, with CME FedWatch implying a hold. Challenges could arise from cooler July CPI (due July 11) fostering unity or unexpectedly hot data sparking multiple hawkish no's.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 18, 2026, 9:07 PM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"在下次聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1" at 100%, followed by "0" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"在下次聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "在下次聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "在下次聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？" is "1" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "0" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "在下次聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "在下次聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “在下次聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

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On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "1" in the "在下次聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "1" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "在下次聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "在下次聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？" market has an active community of 47 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "在下次聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.