Traders' near-unanimous consensus on Toronto's March 19 high reaching 8°C or higher stems from consistent forecasts from Environment Canada and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting daytime highs of 10–14°C amid a mild high-pressure ridge and southerly flow displacing typical late-winter chill. Historical March norms hover around 6–8°C, but current synoptic patterns—warm advection from the U.S. Midwest and minimal cloud cover—bolster this outlook, with ensemble spreads under 2°C. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt Arctic air intrusion or stalled frontal boundary, though low-probability per latest 00Z runs, potentially capping temps near 7°C if verified observations from Pearson Airport confirm it.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Toronto on March 19?
Highest temperature in Toronto on March 19?
8°C or higher 100.0%
-2°C or below <1%
-1°C <1%
0°C <1%
$6,578 交易量
$6,578 交易量
-2°C or below
No
-1°C
No
0°C
No
1°C
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C or higher
Yes
8°C or higher 100.0%
-2°C or below <1%
-1°C <1%
0°C <1%
$6,578 交易量
$6,578 交易量
-2°C or below
No
-1°C
No
0°C
No
1°C
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 15, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Traders' near-unanimous consensus on Toronto's March 19 high reaching 8°C or higher stems from consistent forecasts from Environment Canada and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting daytime highs of 10–14°C amid a mild high-pressure ridge and southerly flow displacing typical late-winter chill. Historical March norms hover around 6–8°C, but current synoptic patterns—warm advection from the U.S. Midwest and minimal cloud cover—bolster this outlook, with ensemble spreads under 2°C. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt Arctic air intrusion or stalled frontal boundary, though low-probability per latest 00Z runs, potentially capping temps near 7°C if verified observations from Pearson Airport confirm it.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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