Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and converging GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs project Seoul's highest temperature on April 8 around 12-15°C, driving trader consensus across closely matched outcomes amid day-3 forecast uncertainty. A cooling trend over the past 48 hours—evident in model shifts from prior 15-17°C guidance—stems from an approaching upper-level trough introducing cloudier conditions and northerly winds, capping daytime heating despite early spring climatology averaging 13-14°C highs. Differentiation hinges on cloud cover variability: partial clearing could push toward 15°C or higher via increased solar insolation, while persistent overcast favors 11-13°C. Watch KMA twice-daily updates and 00Z/12Z global model refreshes for resolution shifts before the official measurement at Seoul's primary station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on April 8?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 8?
15°C or higher 21%
12°C 21%
13°C 21%
11°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
5%
10°C
7%
11°C
20%
12°C
21%
13°C
21%
14°C
14%
15°C or higher
21%
15°C or higher 21%
12°C 21%
13°C 21%
11°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
5°C or below
$808 交易量
<1%
6°C
$922 交易量
1%
7°C
$1,064 交易量
<1%
8°C
$479 交易量
1%
9°C
$500 交易量
5%
10°C
$564 交易量
7%
11°C
$651 交易量
20%
12°C
$558 交易量
21%
13°C
$464 交易量
21%
14°C
$546 交易量
14%
15°C or higher
$1,343 交易量
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and converging GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs project Seoul's highest temperature on April 8 around 12-15°C, driving trader consensus across closely matched outcomes amid day-3 forecast uncertainty. A cooling trend over the past 48 hours—evident in model shifts from prior 15-17°C guidance—stems from an approaching upper-level trough introducing cloudier conditions and northerly winds, capping daytime heating despite early spring climatology averaging 13-14°C highs. Differentiation hinges on cloud cover variability: partial clearing could push toward 15°C or higher via increased solar insolation, while persistent overcast favors 11-13°C. Watch KMA twice-daily updates and 00Z/12Z global model refreshes for resolution shifts before the official measurement at Seoul's primary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$7,900結束日期
2026-04-08市場開放時間
Apr 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and converging GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs project Seoul's highest temperature on April 8 around 12-15°C, driving trader consensus across closely matched outcomes amid day-3 forecast uncertainty. A cooling trend over the past 48 hours—evident in model shifts from prior 15-17°C guidance—stems from an approaching upper-level trough introducing cloudier conditions and northerly winds, capping daytime heating despite early spring climatology averaging 13-14°C highs. Differentiation hinges on cloud cover variability: partial clearing could push toward 15°C or higher via increased solar insolation, while persistent overcast favors 11-13°C. Watch KMA twice-daily updates and 00Z/12Z global model refreshes for resolution shifts before the official measurement at Seoul's primary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$7,900結束日期
2026-04-08市場開放時間
Apr 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETRecent Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and converging GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs project Seoul's highest temperature on April 8 around 12-15°C, driving trader consensus across closely matched outcomes amid day-3 forecast uncertainty. A cooling trend over the past 48 hours—evident in model shifts from prior 15-17°C guidance—stems from an approaching upper-level trough introducing cloudier conditions and northerly winds, capping daytime heating despite early spring climatology averaging 13-14°C highs. Differentiation hinges on cloud cover variability: partial clearing could push toward 15°C or higher via increased solar insolation, while persistent overcast favors 11-13°C. Watch KMA twice-daily updates and 00Z/12Z global model refreshes for resolution shifts before the official measurement at Seoul's primary station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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