Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the inherent uncertainty in three-day temperature forecasts for Beijing, with models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF projecting a high around 19–20°C on April 5 amid a spring warming trend. Recent daily updates show highs of 18–22°C over the past week, driven by variable northerly winds and occasional southerly flows that modulate daytime heating, while urban heat island effects add 1–2°C variability. Ensemble spreads of ±2°C across forecast members explain the close competition among 18–21°C outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover timing or frontal passages could tip the peak temperature. Watch CMA's next advisory on April 3 for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official Beijing observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月5日北京最高溫度？
4月5日北京最高溫度？
18°C 20%
19°C 20%
20°C 20%
21°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
13°C或以下
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
5%
16°C
8%
17°C
10%
18°C
17%
19°C
16%
20°C
20%
21°C
18%
22°C
10%
23°C或更高
5%
18°C 20%
19°C 20%
20°C 20%
21°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
13°C或以下
$241 交易量
1%
14°C
$256 交易量
5%
15°C
$112 交易量
5%
16°C
$122 交易量
8%
17°C
$213 交易量
10%
18°C
$108 交易量
17%
19°C
$132 交易量
16%
20°C
$117 交易量
20%
21°C
$155 交易量
18%
22°C
$116 交易量
10%
23°C或更高
$104 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the inherent uncertainty in three-day temperature forecasts for Beijing, with models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF projecting a high around 19–20°C on April 5 amid a spring warming trend. Recent daily updates show highs of 18–22°C over the past week, driven by variable northerly winds and occasional southerly flows that modulate daytime heating, while urban heat island effects add 1–2°C variability. Ensemble spreads of ±2°C across forecast members explain the close competition among 18–21°C outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover timing or frontal passages could tip the peak temperature. Watch CMA's next advisory on April 3 for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official Beijing observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
交易量
$1,677結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the inherent uncertainty in three-day temperature forecasts for Beijing, with models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF projecting a high around 19–20°C on April 5 amid a spring warming trend. Recent daily updates show highs of 18–22°C over the past week, driven by variable northerly winds and occasional southerly flows that modulate daytime heating, while urban heat island effects add 1–2°C variability. Ensemble spreads of ±2°C across forecast members explain the close competition among 18–21°C outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover timing or frontal passages could tip the peak temperature. Watch CMA's next advisory on April 3 for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official Beijing observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,677結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the inherent uncertainty in three-day temperature forecasts for Beijing, with models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF projecting a high around 19–20°C on April 5 amid a spring warming trend. Recent daily updates show highs of 18–22°C over the past week, driven by variable northerly winds and occasional southerly flows that modulate daytime heating, while urban heat island effects add 1–2°C variability. Ensemble spreads of ±2°C across forecast members explain the close competition among 18–21°C outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover timing or frontal passages could tip the peak temperature. Watch CMA's next advisory on April 3 for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official Beijing observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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