Trader sentiment for Ankara's highest temperature on April 5 reveals profound uncertainty, with market-implied probabilities fragmented across outcomes and peaks at 25.5% for both 7°C or below and 17°C or higher, reflecting bimodal risks from divergent global forecast models. The latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hover around 13°C, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance of a 13°C high amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, but significant spread arises from uncertain northwest upper-level trough timing that could usher cold air advection or allow ridging for warmer conditions. Recent 48-hour observations show temperatures fluctuating from 17°C highs to cooler nights, emblematic of Central Anatolia's continental climate with frequent early-spring cold outbreaks; historical April data supports variability between 5-20°C. New 00z model runs tonight may refine steering patterns and cloud cover impacts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on April 5?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 5?
13°C 26%
14°C 19%
12°C 17%
15°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
7°C or below
3%
8°C
4%
9°C
6%
10°C
9%
11°C
13%
12°C
17%
13°C
26%
14°C
19%
15°C
16%
16°C
10%
17°C or higher
3%
13°C 26%
14°C 19%
12°C 17%
15°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
7°C or below
$185 交易量
3%
8°C
$86 交易量
4%
9°C
$10 交易量
6%
10°C
$0 交易量
9%
11°C
$0 交易量
13%
12°C
$6 交易量
17%
13°C
$6 交易量
26%
14°C
$0 交易量
19%
15°C
$0 交易量
16%
16°C
$0 交易量
10%
17°C or higher
$25 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Ankara's highest temperature on April 5 reveals profound uncertainty, with market-implied probabilities fragmented across outcomes and peaks at 25.5% for both 7°C or below and 17°C or higher, reflecting bimodal risks from divergent global forecast models. The latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hover around 13°C, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance of a 13°C high amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, but significant spread arises from uncertain northwest upper-level trough timing that could usher cold air advection or allow ridging for warmer conditions. Recent 48-hour observations show temperatures fluctuating from 17°C highs to cooler nights, emblematic of Central Anatolia's continental climate with frequent early-spring cold outbreaks; historical April data supports variability between 5-20°C. New 00z model runs tonight may refine steering patterns and cloud cover impacts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$319結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Ankara's highest temperature on April 5 reveals profound uncertainty, with market-implied probabilities fragmented across outcomes and peaks at 25.5% for both 7°C or below and 17°C or higher, reflecting bimodal risks from divergent global forecast models. The latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hover around 13°C, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance of a 13°C high amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, but significant spread arises from uncertain northwest upper-level trough timing that could usher cold air advection or allow ridging for warmer conditions. Recent 48-hour observations show temperatures fluctuating from 17°C highs to cooler nights, emblematic of Central Anatolia's continental climate with frequent early-spring cold outbreaks; historical April data supports variability between 5-20°C. New 00z model runs tonight may refine steering patterns and cloud cover impacts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$319結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader sentiment for Ankara's highest temperature on April 5 reveals profound uncertainty, with market-implied probabilities fragmented across outcomes and peaks at 25.5% for both 7°C or below and 17°C or higher, reflecting bimodal risks from divergent global forecast models. The latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hover around 13°C, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance of a 13°C high amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, but significant spread arises from uncertain northwest upper-level trough timing that could usher cold air advection or allow ridging for warmer conditions. Recent 48-hour observations show temperatures fluctuating from 17°C highs to cooler nights, emblematic of Central Anatolia's continental climate with frequent early-spring cold outbreaks; historical April data supports variability between 5-20°C. New 00z model runs tonight may refine steering patterns and cloud cover impacts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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