Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?

Name: Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?
Start: 2026-03-29T19:55:37.749Z
End: 2026-04-01T12:00:00.000Z

Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

17°C 32%

18°C 20%

16°C 19%

19°C or higher 18%

NEW

Apr 1, 2026

9°C or below

$636 交易量

10°C

$865 交易量

<1%

11°C

$796 交易量

12°C

$334 交易量

<1%

13°C

$238 交易量

14°C

$439 交易量

15°C

$107 交易量

10%

16°C

$100 交易量

19%

17°C

$215 交易量

32%

18°C

$129 交易量

27%

19°C or higher

$126 交易量

18%

17°C 32%

18°C 20%

16°C 19%

19°C or higher 18%

NEW

Apr 1, 2026

9°C or below

$636 交易量

10°C

$865 交易量

<1%

11°C

$796 交易量

12°C

$334 交易量

<1%

13°C

$238 交易量

14°C

$439 交易量

15°C

$107 交易量

10%

16°C

$100 交易量

19%

17°C

$215 交易量

32%

18°C

$129 交易量

27%

19°C or higher

$126 交易量

18%

Japan Meteorological Agency's latest two-week forecast projects a daytime high of 18°C for Tokyo on April 1, aligning with trader sentiment favoring outcomes around 17–18°C amid above-normal spring temperatures in the Kanto region following late-March peaks near 22°C. Closely matched probabilities reflect model ensemble uncertainty, with JMA and ECMWF guidance centering on 18°C under partly cloudy skies, while GFS variants suggest slightly cooler 16–17°C if scattered showers or a weak frontal boundary increase cloud cover and suppress daytime heating. Historical early-April highs average 17°C, with urban heat island effects and solar insolation as key differentiators; daily JMA updates through March 31 will clarify steering patterns and precipitation risks ahead of resolution based on official Tokyo observatory readings.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 30, 2026, 1:27 AM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "17°C" at 32%, followed by "18°C" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?" is "17°C" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "18°C" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 32¢ for "17°C" in the "Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 32% chance that "17°C" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 32¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 68¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Apr 1, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?" market has an active community of 83 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?

Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?

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