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Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 30?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 30?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

19°C 46%

20°C 35%

21°C 18%

22°C or higher 4.1%

Polymarket
NEW

$49,340 交易量

19°C 46%

20°C 35%

21°C 18%

22°C or higher 4.1%

Polymarket
NEW

$49,340 交易量

15°C

$9,528 交易量

<1%

16°C

$8,084 交易量

<1%

17°C

$7,912 交易量

<1%

18°C

$7,457 交易量

<1%

19°C

$2,169 交易量

46%

20°C

$3,180 交易量

35%

21°C

$1,863 交易量

18%

22°C or higher

$1,822 交易量

4%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Tokyo high of 19°C at 45.5% implied probability, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) March 29 evening forecast projecting exactly that amid cloudy skies turning partly cloudy, with 20% precipitation chances through afternoon. This marks a downward revision from earlier 21°C guidance, reflecting increased cloud cover limiting solar insolation after March 29's observed 21°C peak under clearer conditions. Hourly models from sources like timeanddate.com align closely, peaking near 20°C (68°F) around 3-4 p.m., but traders incorporate springtime uncertainty from variable low-pressure influences and urban heat moderation. JMA surface observations will finalize the outcome by evening, with potential for slight upside if clearing accelerates.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Tokyo high of 19°C at 45.5% implied probability, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) March 29 evening forecast projecting exactly that amid cloudy skies turning partly cloudy, with 20% precipitation chances through afternoon. This marks a downward revision from earlier 21°C guidance, reflecting increased cloud cover limiting solar insolation after March 29's observed 21°C peak under clearer conditions. Hourly models from sources like timeanddate.com align closely, peaking near 20°C (68°F) around 3-4 p.m., but traders incorporate springtime uncertainty from variable low-pressure influences and urban heat moderation. JMA surface observations will finalize the outcome by evening, with potential for slight upside if clearing accelerates.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Tokyo high of 19°C at 45.5% implied probability, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) March 29 evening forecast projecting exactly that amid cloudy skies turning partly cloudy, with 20% precipitation chances through afternoon. This marks a downward revision from earlier 21°C guidance, reflecting increased cloud cover limiting solar insolation after March 29's observed 21°C peak under clearer conditions. Hourly models from sources like timeanddate.com align closely, peaking near 20°C (68°F) around 3-4 p.m., but traders incorporate springtime uncertainty from variable low-pressure influences and urban heat moderation. JMA surface observations will finalize the outcome by evening, with potential for slight upside if clearing accelerates.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Tokyo high of 19°C at 45.5% implied probability, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) March 29 evening forecast projecting exactly that amid cloudy skies turning partly cloudy, with 20% precipitation chances through afternoon. This marks a downward revision from earlier 21°C guidance, reflecting increased cloud cover limiting solar insolation after March 29's observed 21°C peak under clearer conditions. Hourly models from sources like timeanddate.com align closely, peaking near 20°C (68°F) around 3-4 p.m., but traders incorporate springtime uncertainty from variable low-pressure influences and urban heat moderation. JMA surface observations will finalize the outcome by evening, with potential for slight upside if clearing accelerates.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "19°C" at 46%, followed by "20°C" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 30?" has generated $49.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 30?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 30?" is "19°C" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "20°C" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.