Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a highest temperature of 27°C (80% implied probability) in Shenzhen on March 30, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast ensembles and global models projecting a daytime peak of 27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport amid mostly sunny conditions and a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. Late-March climatology typically sees average highs near 24°C, but recent above-normal warmth from light southerly winds and low humidity has elevated expectations, with ensemble spreads assigning modest odds to 28°C (8.5%) due to potential urban heat island amplification or delayed sea breeze moderation. Real-time observational data from CMA stations will track hourly maxima through afternoon, resolving any intraday shifts in solar heating or coastal influences.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 30?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 30?
27°C 81%
28°C 12%
29°C 5.2%
30°C 3.4%
$98,619 交易量
$98,619 交易量
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
81%
28°C
12%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 81%
28°C 12%
29°C 5.2%
30°C 3.4%
$98,619 交易量
$98,619 交易量
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
81%
28°C
12%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a highest temperature of 27°C (80% implied probability) in Shenzhen on March 30, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast ensembles and global models projecting a daytime peak of 27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport amid mostly sunny conditions and a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. Late-March climatology typically sees average highs near 24°C, but recent above-normal warmth from light southerly winds and low humidity has elevated expectations, with ensemble spreads assigning modest odds to 28°C (8.5%) due to potential urban heat island amplification or delayed sea breeze moderation. Real-time observational data from CMA stations will track hourly maxima through afternoon, resolving any intraday shifts in solar heating or coastal influences.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions