Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for São Paulo's highest temperature on March 29, with models like ECMWF and GFS diverging between 29–31°C amid a stable high-pressure system over southeastern Brazil. Recent INMET updates show daytime highs clustering around 30°C, influenced by lingering summer warmth, urban heat island effects in the city, and light southerly winds limiting cooling. Climatempo's latest run projects a peak of 31°C by afternoon, while CPTEC notes low precipitation risk, favoring hotter outcomes over cooler ones below 28°C. Ensemble model spreads highlight sensitivity to cloud cover and sea breeze timing; fresh advisories expected midday March 29 could sharpen odds before evening resolution based on official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 29?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 29?
30°C 28%
31°C 24%
29°C 19%
32°C 13%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
21%
30°C
28%
31°C
24%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 28%
31°C 24%
29°C 19%
32°C 13%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
21%
30°C
28%
31°C
24%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for São Paulo's highest temperature on March 29, with models like ECMWF and GFS diverging between 29–31°C amid a stable high-pressure system over southeastern Brazil. Recent INMET updates show daytime highs clustering around 30°C, influenced by lingering summer warmth, urban heat island effects in the city, and light southerly winds limiting cooling. Climatempo's latest run projects a peak of 31°C by afternoon, while CPTEC notes low precipitation risk, favoring hotter outcomes over cooler ones below 28°C. Ensemble model spreads highlight sensitivity to cloud cover and sea breeze timing; fresh advisories expected midday March 29 could sharpen odds before evening resolution based on official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions