Trader sentiment for NYC's March 25 high temperature hinges on the National Weather Service's latest forecast, projecting a peak of 52°F under mild southerly winds and partial sunshine, fueling the tight race between 52-53°F (31%) and 50-51°F (29.5%). Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF diverge slightly—GFS leaning warmer at 53°F, ECMWF cooler at 51°F—due to uncertainties in morning low cloud cover suppressing early heating and afternoon convective mixing enhancing peaks. Historical late-March averages near 51°F, combined with weak jet stream undulations, cap extremes, sidelining 60°F+ (9%) while low-level cold air advection risks nudge 48-49°F (15.5%) viability. Key watch: 12Z model updates refining boundary layer stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on March 25?
Highest temperature in NYC on March 25?
52-53°F 33%
50-51°F 30%
54-55°F 21%
48-49°F 15%
41°F or below
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
10%
46-47°F
13%
48-49°F
15%
50-51°F
30%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
21%
56-57°F
10%
58-59°F
12%
60°F or higher
11%
52-53°F 33%
50-51°F 30%
54-55°F 21%
48-49°F 15%
41°F or below
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
10%
46-47°F
13%
48-49°F
15%
50-51°F
30%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
21%
56-57°F
10%
58-59°F
12%
60°F or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for NYC's March 25 high temperature hinges on the National Weather Service's latest forecast, projecting a peak of 52°F under mild southerly winds and partial sunshine, fueling the tight race between 52-53°F (31%) and 50-51°F (29.5%). Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF diverge slightly—GFS leaning warmer at 53°F, ECMWF cooler at 51°F—due to uncertainties in morning low cloud cover suppressing early heating and afternoon convective mixing enhancing peaks. Historical late-March averages near 51°F, combined with weak jet stream undulations, cap extremes, sidelining 60°F+ (9%) while low-level cold air advection risks nudge 48-49°F (15.5%) viability. Key watch: 12Z model updates refining boundary layer stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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