Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Atlanta reaching a high of 58°F or higher on March 25, with 98.1% implied probability, driven by the latest NOAA and National Weather Service ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 60s°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds. High-resolution models like the GFS and ECMWF show consistent warming from a ridge aloft, aligning with climatological norms for late March where average highs exceed 65°F. Supporting evidence includes recent soundings indicating stable boundary layers and minimal cold air advection risks. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen shortwave trough or nocturnal cold front surge, which current 00Z runs deem unlikely below 10% probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 25?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 25?
58°F or higher 98.1%
56-57°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$46,888 交易量
$46,888 交易量
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F or higher
98%
58°F or higher 98.1%
56-57°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$46,888 交易量
$46,888 交易量
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Atlanta reaching a high of 58°F or higher on March 25, with 98.1% implied probability, driven by the latest NOAA and National Weather Service ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 60s°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds. High-resolution models like the GFS and ECMWF show consistent warming from a ridge aloft, aligning with climatological norms for late March where average highs exceed 65°F. Supporting evidence includes recent soundings indicating stable boundary layers and minimal cold air advection risks. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen shortwave trough or nocturnal cold front surge, which current 00Z runs deem unlikely below 10% probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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