Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a Paris high of 15°C (50.5%) on March 22, propelled by the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 14-16°C under mild westerly flows and reduced cloud cover. These models reflect a positive temperature anomaly of +3°C above the March historical average of 12°C at Paris-Charles de Gaulle station, influenced by a weakened polar vortex allowing warmer Atlantic air advection. Recent developments include a 24-hour forecast update showing convergence around 15°C peak in late afternoon, with minor spread (±1°C) across global models like GFS. Official observations from Roissy station will resolve the market, underscoring typical spring variability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Paris on March 22?
Highest temperature in Paris on March 22?
15°C 49%
16°C 31%
14°C 14%
17°C 2.8%
$48,607 交易量
$48,607 交易量
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
14%
15°C
49%
16°C
31%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
<1%
15°C 49%
16°C 31%
14°C 14%
17°C 2.8%
$48,607 交易量
$48,607 交易量
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
14%
15°C
49%
16°C
31%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a Paris high of 15°C (50.5%) on March 22, propelled by the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 14-16°C under mild westerly flows and reduced cloud cover. These models reflect a positive temperature anomaly of +3°C above the March historical average of 12°C at Paris-Charles de Gaulle station, influenced by a weakened polar vortex allowing warmer Atlantic air advection. Recent developments include a 24-hour forecast update showing convergence around 15°C peak in late afternoon, with minor spread (±1°C) across global models like GFS. Official observations from Roissy station will resolve the market, underscoring typical spring variability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions