Trader sentiment on Paris's highest temperature on March 23 heavily favors 16°C (38.5%) and 17°C (36.0%), driven by the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting afternoon maxima in that narrow band amid a mild Atlantic high-pressure influence. These models show peak heating around 3-5 PM local time under partly cloudy skies, with low-level southerly winds adding 1-2°C above seasonal norms of 12-13°C. The close split reflects ensemble spread: slight phasing differences in shortwave troughs could cap at 16°C via increased cloudiness or push to 17°C with clearer skies, per GFS 00Z runs. Hourly updates from official stations will resolve uncertainties by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Paris on March 23?
Highest temperature in Paris on March 23?
16°C 37%
17°C 34%
15°C 18%
18°C 9%
$26,728 交易量
$26,728 交易量
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
18%
16°C
37%
17°C
34%
18°C
9%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 37%
17°C 34%
15°C 18%
18°C 9%
$26,728 交易量
$26,728 交易量
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
18%
16°C
37%
17°C
34%
18°C
9%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Paris's highest temperature on March 23 heavily favors 16°C (38.5%) and 17°C (36.0%), driven by the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting afternoon maxima in that narrow band amid a mild Atlantic high-pressure influence. These models show peak heating around 3-5 PM local time under partly cloudy skies, with low-level southerly winds adding 1-2°C above seasonal norms of 12-13°C. The close split reflects ensemble spread: slight phasing differences in shortwave troughs could cap at 16°C via increased cloudiness or push to 17°C with clearer skies, per GFS 00Z runs. Hourly updates from official stations will resolve uncertainties by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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