Trader sentiment on Ankara's highest temperature on March 22 hinges on closely contested 11°C (27%) and 12°C (25.5%) odds, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles amid an incoming northerly cold front. ECMWF hints at midday peaks near 12°C with partial cloud breaks allowing modest insolation, while GFS emphasizes persistent overcast skies and gusty winds capping highs at 11°C, aligning with Ankara's March climatology of 12–13°C averages but tempered by recent polar air advection. Historical data shows diurnal ranges of 8–10°C this time of year, with resolution hinging on tomorrow's 00Z model updates from Turkish State Meteorological Service, where small shifts in boundary layer mixing could tip the balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on March 22?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 22?
11°C 26%
12°C 26%
13°C 16%
10°C 9%
$10,312 交易量
$10,312 交易量
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
3%
9°C
7%
10°C
15%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
16%
14°C
4%
15°C
8%
16°C or higher
1%
11°C 26%
12°C 26%
13°C 16%
10°C 9%
$10,312 交易量
$10,312 交易量
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
3%
9°C
7%
10°C
15%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
16%
14°C
4%
15°C
8%
16°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Ankara's highest temperature on March 22 hinges on closely contested 11°C (27%) and 12°C (25.5%) odds, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles amid an incoming northerly cold front. ECMWF hints at midday peaks near 12°C with partial cloud breaks allowing modest insolation, while GFS emphasizes persistent overcast skies and gusty winds capping highs at 11°C, aligning with Ankara's March climatology of 12–13°C averages but tempered by recent polar air advection. Historical data shows diurnal ranges of 8–10°C this time of year, with resolution hinging on tomorrow's 00Z model updates from Turkish State Meteorological Service, where small shifts in boundary layer mixing could tip the balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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