Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature of 30°C or below in Lucknow on March 22 (75.5% implied probability), driven by the India Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting a high around 30-31°C amid lingering effects of a western disturbance bringing cloudy skies and cooler northerly winds. Historical March data from IMD shows averages near 32°C, but recent observations indicate suppressed diurnal heating due to overcast conditions and reduced solar insolation, positioning 31°C (12%) and 32°C (9%) as secondary contenders. Ensemble weather models like GFS and ECMWF align on mild conditions, though minor divergences could shift outcomes; monitor IMD's evening update for refined guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 22?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 22?
30°C or below 76%
31°C 12%
32°C 9%
33°C 6%
30°C or below
76%
31°C
12%
32°C
9%
33°C
6%
34°C
5%
35°C
5%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
30°C or below 76%
31°C 12%
32°C 9%
33°C 6%
30°C or below
76%
31°C
12%
32°C
9%
33°C
6%
34°C
5%
35°C
5%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature of 30°C or below in Lucknow on March 22 (75.5% implied probability), driven by the India Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting a high around 30-31°C amid lingering effects of a western disturbance bringing cloudy skies and cooler northerly winds. Historical March data from IMD shows averages near 32°C, but recent observations indicate suppressed diurnal heating due to overcast conditions and reduced solar insolation, positioning 31°C (12%) and 32°C (9%) as secondary contenders. Ensemble weather models like GFS and ECMWF align on mild conditions, though minor divergences could shift outcomes; monitor IMD's evening update for refined guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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