Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 28°C or below in Lucknow on March 21, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts predicting a maximum around 27-28°C amid persistent cloud cover from a western disturbance. This aligns with recent GFS and ECMWF model ensembles showing cool northerly winds suppressing daytime heating, consistent with early March's below-normal temperatures across Uttar Pradesh—historical averages hover near 31°C but current conditions mirror cooler precedents like 2023's 26.8°C peak. Resolution hinges on official IMD airport observations; a realistic challenge would require an improbable sudden clearance of skies and adiabatic warming, but high model agreement yields over 99% implied probability for the low outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 21?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 21?
28°C or below 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$94,697 交易量
$94,697 交易量
28°C or below
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
28°C or below 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$94,697 交易量
$94,697 交易量
28°C or below
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 28°C or below in Lucknow on March 21, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts predicting a maximum around 27-28°C amid persistent cloud cover from a western disturbance. This aligns with recent GFS and ECMWF model ensembles showing cool northerly winds suppressing daytime heating, consistent with early March's below-normal temperatures across Uttar Pradesh—historical averages hover near 31°C but current conditions mirror cooler precedents like 2023's 26.8°C peak. Resolution hinges on official IMD airport observations; a realistic challenge would require an improbable sudden clearance of skies and adiabatic warming, but high model agreement yields over 99% implied probability for the low outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions