Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 32°C high in Lucknow on March 24 (34% implied probability), propelled by India Meteorological Department's latest forecasts indicating maximums of 31-33°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds from a fading western disturbance. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability, which limits solar insolation and could cap temperatures at 31°C or below (25%) during overcast spells, versus clearer intervals enabling 33°C (23.5%) via enhanced daytime heating. Historical March 24 averages near 32.5°C align closely, tempered by Lucknow's urban heat island boosting peaks by 1-2°C, while low odds for 35°C+ reflect seasonal baselines absent heatwave triggers. Model spreads underscore uncertainty in peak-hour radiation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月24日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
3月24日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
31°C或以下 35%
32°C 34%
33°C 32%
35°C 18%
31°C或以下
25%
32°C
34%
33°C
24%
34°C
16%
35°C
18%
36°C
11%
37°C
12%
38°C
9%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C或以上
13%
31°C或以下 35%
32°C 34%
33°C 32%
35°C 18%
31°C或以下
25%
32°C
34%
33°C
24%
34°C
16%
35°C
18%
36°C
11%
37°C
12%
38°C
9%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C或以上
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 32°C high in Lucknow on March 24 (34% implied probability), propelled by India Meteorological Department's latest forecasts indicating maximums of 31-33°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds from a fading western disturbance. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability, which limits solar insolation and could cap temperatures at 31°C or below (25%) during overcast spells, versus clearer intervals enabling 33°C (23.5%) via enhanced daytime heating. Historical March 24 averages near 32.5°C align closely, tempered by Lucknow's urban heat island boosting peaks by 1-2°C, while low odds for 35°C+ reflect seasonal baselines absent heatwave triggers. Model spreads underscore uncertainty in peak-hour radiation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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