Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Buenos Aires' late-summer weather, with model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS forecasting a daily high of 24-26°C on March 24, driven by a lingering cool front suppressing heat after recent mild days averaging 22-25°C. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest outlook pegs the max at 25°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, differentiating lower bins via potential sea-breeze moderation that caps afternoon peaks below 27°C. Slight edges to 23°C-or-below and 24°C stem from historical March baselines (24.5°C mean) and urban heat island variability, while upside risks above 26°C remain slim absent unexpected clear skies boosting solar insolation. Watch SMN's 18Z update for resolution-shifting refinements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 24?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 24?
23°C or below 26%
24°C 24%
26°C 22%
25°C 22%
23°C or below
26%
24°C
24%
25°C
22%
26°C
25%
27°C
7%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
23°C or below 26%
24°C 24%
26°C 22%
25°C 22%
23°C or below
26%
24°C
24%
25°C
22%
26°C
25%
27°C
7%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Buenos Aires' late-summer weather, with model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS forecasting a daily high of 24-26°C on March 24, driven by a lingering cool front suppressing heat after recent mild days averaging 22-25°C. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest outlook pegs the max at 25°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, differentiating lower bins via potential sea-breeze moderation that caps afternoon peaks below 27°C. Slight edges to 23°C-or-below and 24°C stem from historical March baselines (24.5°C mean) and urban heat island variability, while upside risks above 26°C remain slim absent unexpected clear skies boosting solar insolation. Watch SMN's 18Z update for resolution-shifting refinements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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