Trader consensus on Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 23 hinges on a razor-thin split between 23°C (27%) and 24°C (26.5%), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centering outputs around 23-24°C amid mild autumn conditions. Official projections from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional align closely with 23°C, factoring in moderate southerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing peaks, while U.S. models like GFS show slight bullish bias toward 24°C due to warmer boundary layer forecasts. Historical March maxima average 25°C, but recent cooler anomalies from La Niña influences add uncertainty; watch 12Z model updates for resolution-shifting shifts in convective activity. Lower odds for 25°C+ reflect low ensemble spread beyond 24°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月23日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
3月23日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
25°C 19%
22°C 16%
$13,817 交易量
$13,817 交易量
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
16%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
19%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C或以上
<1%
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
25°C 19%
22°C 16%
$13,817 交易量
$13,817 交易量
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
16%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
19%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 23 hinges on a razor-thin split between 23°C (27%) and 24°C (26.5%), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centering outputs around 23-24°C amid mild autumn conditions. Official projections from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional align closely with 23°C, factoring in moderate southerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing peaks, while U.S. models like GFS show slight bullish bias toward 24°C due to warmer boundary layer forecasts. Historical March maxima average 25°C, but recent cooler anomalies from La Niña influences add uncertainty; watch 12Z model updates for resolution-shifting shifts in convective activity. Lower odds for 25°C+ reflect low ensemble spread beyond 24°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions