Ensemble weather model forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkey's Meteorological General Directorate drive tight trader odds for Ankara's March 24 high temperature, with 12°C (31.5%) edging 11°C (23%) and 10°C (20.5%) amid a 1-2°C spread reflecting spring synoptic uncertainty. Recent 00Z runs indicate mild high-pressure ridging nudging peaks toward 12°C, differentiating it from cooler 10-11°C scenarios tied to residual cold-air advection and nocturnal inversions. Historical March climatology averages 12-13°C highs, but partial cloud cover and light southerlies limit upside, while model ensembles (80% within 10-13°C) underscore low extreme risks; traders await hourly observations for intraday maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on March 24?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 24?
12°C 32%
11°C 22%
10°C 21%
13°C 20%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
7%
9°C
8%
10°C
21%
11°C
22%
12°C
32%
13°C
20%
14°C
15%
15°C
13%
16°C
4%
17°C or higher
2%
12°C 32%
11°C 22%
10°C 21%
13°C 20%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
7%
9°C
8%
10°C
21%
11°C
22%
12°C
32%
13°C
20%
14°C
15%
15°C
13%
16°C
4%
17°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather model forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkey's Meteorological General Directorate drive tight trader odds for Ankara's March 24 high temperature, with 12°C (31.5%) edging 11°C (23%) and 10°C (20.5%) amid a 1-2°C spread reflecting spring synoptic uncertainty. Recent 00Z runs indicate mild high-pressure ridging nudging peaks toward 12°C, differentiating it from cooler 10-11°C scenarios tied to residual cold-air advection and nocturnal inversions. Historical March climatology averages 12-13°C highs, but partial cloud cover and light southerlies limit upside, while model ensembles (80% within 10-13°C) underscore low extreme risks; traders await hourly observations for intraday maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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