The National Weather Service's short-range forecast, backed by converging GFS and ECMWF models, projects a high near 85°F in Houston on March 24 under a strengthening upper-level ridge, fueling trader sentiment for the 84-85°F outcome at 41% implied probability. This setup features clear skies, light southerly winds, and dry soils amplifying daytime heating beyond the March climatological average of 75°F. Recent soundings confirm stable boundary layers conducive to highs in the mid-80s, while ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty from potential afternoon clouds or isolated thunderstorms. Historical precedents from similar ridge patterns in early spring support these leading odds, with lower probabilities reflecting risks of frontal timing shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on March 24?
Highest temperature in Houston on March 24?
84-85°F 32%
82-83°F 18%
88-89°F 16%
92-93°F 15%
75°F or below
3%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
41%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
12%
94°F or higher
3%
84-85°F 32%
82-83°F 18%
88-89°F 16%
92-93°F 15%
75°F or below
3%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
41%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
12%
94°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service's short-range forecast, backed by converging GFS and ECMWF models, projects a high near 85°F in Houston on March 24 under a strengthening upper-level ridge, fueling trader sentiment for the 84-85°F outcome at 41% implied probability. This setup features clear skies, light southerly winds, and dry soils amplifying daytime heating beyond the March climatological average of 75°F. Recent soundings confirm stable boundary layers conducive to highs in the mid-80s, while ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty from potential afternoon clouds or isolated thunderstorms. Historical precedents from similar ridge patterns in early spring support these leading odds, with lower probabilities reflecting risks of frontal timing shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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