Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Tel Aviv high of 18-19°C on March 24, with 32% implied odds for 19°C and 31% for 18°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering in this range amid a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean. Mild southerly winds and moderate humidity temper extremes, aligning with March climatology where daily highs average 19-20°C but vary by 3-4°C due to coastal influences and urban heat island effects. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon cloud cover—potentially capping peaks at 18°C—or clearer skies pushing toward 20°C (22% odds), as confirmed by Israel Meteorological Service updates; traders await final hourly refinements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 24?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 24?
19°C 33%
18°C 31%
20°C 22%
17°C 18%
13°C or below
6%
14°C
2%
15°C
15%
16°C
17%
17°C
18%
18°C
31%
19°C
32%
20°C
22%
21°C
15%
22°C
12%
23°C or higher
10%
19°C 33%
18°C 31%
20°C 22%
17°C 18%
13°C or below
6%
14°C
2%
15°C
15%
16°C
17%
17°C
18%
18°C
31%
19°C
32%
20°C
22%
21°C
15%
22°C
12%
23°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Tel Aviv high of 18-19°C on March 24, with 32% implied odds for 19°C and 31% for 18°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering in this range amid a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean. Mild southerly winds and moderate humidity temper extremes, aligning with March climatology where daily highs average 19-20°C but vary by 3-4°C due to coastal influences and urban heat island effects. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon cloud cover—potentially capping peaks at 18°C—or clearer skies pushing toward 20°C (22% odds), as confirmed by Israel Meteorological Service updates; traders await final hourly refinements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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