Trader sentiment for Taipei's March 22 highest temperature remains tightly contested, with 29°C or higher leading at 20.5% due to the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks near 28°C under a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge bringing clear skies and light winds. However, closely trailing odds for 23–26°C reflect uncertainty from potential afternoon sea breezes and isolated convective showers hinted in ICON and UKMO models, which could cap highs 3–5°C lower via increased cloud cover. Historical March averages hover around 23°C per Central Weather Administration data, amplifying model divergence from diurnal timing of instability; traders await CWA's next 12-hour update for resolution clarity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Taipei on March 22?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 22?
23°C 19%
26°C 19%
24°C 18%
25°C 18%
19°C or below
5%
20°C
10%
21°C
6%
22°C
11%
23°C
13%
24°C
11%
25°C
11%
26°C
19%
27°C
11%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
7%
23°C 19%
26°C 19%
24°C 18%
25°C 18%
19°C or below
5%
20°C
10%
21°C
6%
22°C
11%
23°C
13%
24°C
11%
25°C
11%
26°C
19%
27°C
11%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
This market will resolve to the degree indicated in its title (e.g., if a market's title indicates it will resolve to "Yes" if 21°C is the highest temperature on a given day, all temperatures within the range 21.0-21.9°C [inclusive] will qualify).
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 18, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Taipei's March 22 highest temperature remains tightly contested, with 29°C or higher leading at 20.5% due to the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks near 28°C under a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge bringing clear skies and light winds. However, closely trailing odds for 23–26°C reflect uncertainty from potential afternoon sea breezes and isolated convective showers hinted in ICON and UKMO models, which could cap highs 3–5°C lower via increased cloud cover. Historical March averages hover around 23°C per Central Weather Administration data, amplifying model divergence from diurnal timing of instability; traders await CWA's next 12-hour update for resolution clarity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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