Trader consensus heavily favors 92-95°F highs in Dallas on March 22, driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center and NWS forecasts showing a robust high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains promoting subsidence warming, clear skies, and light winds conducive to peak afternoon temperatures. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF have converged on this range since recent runs, with 12z updates nudging probabilities higher amid dry soils amplifying heat buildup—Dallas's urban heat island effect could push readings toward the upper end. Historical March norms around 67°F underscore the anomaly, but low cloud cover risk and minimal cold front interference position 90-97°F as leading outcomes, though diurnal variability introduces modest uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月22日達拉斯的最高溫度?
3月22日達拉斯的最高溫度?
92-93°F 42%
94-95°F 31%
90-91°F 16.4%
96-97°F 5%
$62,288 交易量
$62,288 交易量
華氏79度或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
31%
96-97°F
5%
華氏98度或更高
3%
92-93°F 42%
94-95°F 31%
90-91°F 16.4%
96-97°F 5%
$62,288 交易量
$62,288 交易量
華氏79度或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
31%
96-97°F
5%
華氏98度或更高
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 92-95°F highs in Dallas on March 22, driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center and NWS forecasts showing a robust high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains promoting subsidence warming, clear skies, and light winds conducive to peak afternoon temperatures. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF have converged on this range since recent runs, with 12z updates nudging probabilities higher amid dry soils amplifying heat buildup—Dallas's urban heat island effect could push readings toward the upper end. Historical March norms around 67°F underscore the anomaly, but low cloud cover risk and minimal cold front interference position 90-97°F as leading outcomes, though diurnal variability introduces modest uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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