Trader sentiment for Taipei's highest temperature on March 26 leans toward mild spring conditions, with 27°C or higher at 23.5% reflecting optimism from recent ECMWF and GFS model runs hinting at brief ridging and reduced cloud cover, while 26°C (18.5%) and 23°C (17.5%) capture the core forecast consensus around 24-25°C. Taiwan's Central Weather Administration ensembles project a high near 25°C amid typical late-March northeasterly flows moderating warmth, but differentiation arises from model spread: warmer outliers factor in urban heat islands and potential subsidence, versus cooler risks from lingering fronts or sea breezes. Historical averages (23-26°C) and low volatility in diurnal ranges underpin the tight clustering, with key resolution hinging on final 24-hour updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Taipei on March 26?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 26?
27°C or higher 24%
26°C 19%
23°C 18%
20°C 14%
17°C or below
10%
18°C
12%
19°C
13%
20°C
14%
21°C
9%
22°C
11%
23°C
18%
24°C
13%
25°C
13%
26°C
19%
27°C or higher
24%
27°C or higher 24%
26°C 19%
23°C 18%
20°C 14%
17°C or below
10%
18°C
12%
19°C
13%
20°C
14%
21°C
9%
22°C
11%
23°C
18%
24°C
13%
25°C
13%
26°C
19%
27°C or higher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 22, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Taipei's highest temperature on March 26 leans toward mild spring conditions, with 27°C or higher at 23.5% reflecting optimism from recent ECMWF and GFS model runs hinting at brief ridging and reduced cloud cover, while 26°C (18.5%) and 23°C (17.5%) capture the core forecast consensus around 24-25°C. Taiwan's Central Weather Administration ensembles project a high near 25°C amid typical late-March northeasterly flows moderating warmth, but differentiation arises from model spread: warmer outliers factor in urban heat islands and potential subsidence, versus cooler risks from lingering fronts or sea breezes. Historical averages (23-26°C) and low volatility in diurnal ranges underpin the tight clustering, with key resolution hinging on final 24-hour updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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