Trader sentiment for Chongqing's highest temperature on March 24 clusters tightly around 18–20°C due to ensemble weather model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration forecasts, which project daytime highs in this range amid mild southerly flows and partial cloud cover. Recent 00Z model runs indicate a slight upward shift toward 19–20°C, boosting those odds, while lingering stratiform clouds and urban heat island moderation differentiate lower outcomes like 17°C or below. Historical late-March averages hover near 18°C, but current 500-hPa ridge strengthening favors warmer peaks, though shear-line instability adds uncertainty to exceeding 20°C. Key watch: CMA's 12-hour update for refined boundary layer details.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 24?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 24?
18°C 23%
19°C 22%
20°C or higher 21%
15°C 19%
10°C or below
9%
11°C
10%
12°C
14%
13°C
17%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
19%
18°C
23%
19°C
22%
20°C or higher
21%
18°C 23%
19°C 22%
20°C or higher 21%
15°C 19%
10°C or below
9%
11°C
10%
12°C
14%
13°C
17%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
19%
18°C
23%
19°C
22%
20°C or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chongqing's highest temperature on March 24 clusters tightly around 18–20°C due to ensemble weather model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration forecasts, which project daytime highs in this range amid mild southerly flows and partial cloud cover. Recent 00Z model runs indicate a slight upward shift toward 19–20°C, boosting those odds, while lingering stratiform clouds and urban heat island moderation differentiate lower outcomes like 17°C or below. Historical late-March averages hover near 18°C, but current 500-hPa ridge strengthening favors warmer peaks, though shear-line instability adds uncertainty to exceeding 20°C. Key watch: CMA's 12-hour update for refined boundary layer details.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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