Trader consensus on Chongqing's March 23 highest temperature hinges on ensemble forecasts converging around 17.5°C, splitting sentiment between 18°C (39%) and 17°C (32.5%) amid model spread from light cloud cover and northerly winds. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates show GFS and ECMWF runs projecting afternoon peaks of 17-18°C, moderated by the city's Yangtze River valley location and urban heat island effect boosting diurnal ranges by 1-2°C above rural baselines. Differentiating factors include precise timing of solar heating before evening cooling and station-specific measurements at Jiangbei Airport; historical March volatility adds uncertainty, with traders eyeing today's 06Z model refresh for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
18°C 41%
17°C 30%
16°C 12%
19°C 10%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
32%
18°C
41%
19°C
10%
20°C
8%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
18°C 41%
17°C 30%
16°C 12%
19°C 10%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
32%
18°C
41%
19°C
10%
20°C
8%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Chongqing's March 23 highest temperature hinges on ensemble forecasts converging around 17.5°C, splitting sentiment between 18°C (39%) and 17°C (32.5%) amid model spread from light cloud cover and northerly winds. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates show GFS and ECMWF runs projecting afternoon peaks of 17-18°C, moderated by the city's Yangtze River valley location and urban heat island effect boosting diurnal ranges by 1-2°C above rural baselines. Differentiating factors include precise timing of solar heating before evening cooling and station-specific measurements at Jiangbei Airport; historical March volatility adds uncertainty, with traders eyeing today's 06Z model refresh for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions