The close contest among 12-14°C outcomes on Polymarket reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on Ankara's March 26 high in this narrow band, driven by persistent cool northerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting solar heating. ECMWF's deterministic run edges toward 13°C, while GFS variants cluster at 12°C, highlighting model divergence from uncertain frontal timing and upper-air ridging. Turkish MGM aligns at 13°C, consistent with Ankara's March historical mean of 13°C but tempered by recent sub-10°C nights signaling subdued diurnal warming. Traders price in this spread, with lower odds for extremes amid typical late-winter variability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on March 26?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 26?
13°C 32%
12°C 25%
14°C 20%
11°C 18%
8°C or below
7%
9°C
9%
10°C
15%
11°C
18%
12°C
25%
13°C
32%
14°C
20%
15°C
17%
16°C
15%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
3%
13°C 32%
12°C 25%
14°C 20%
11°C 18%
8°C or below
7%
9°C
9%
10°C
15%
11°C
18%
12°C
25%
13°C
32%
14°C
20%
15°C
17%
16°C
15%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The close contest among 12-14°C outcomes on Polymarket reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on Ankara's March 26 high in this narrow band, driven by persistent cool northerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting solar heating. ECMWF's deterministic run edges toward 13°C, while GFS variants cluster at 12°C, highlighting model divergence from uncertain frontal timing and upper-air ridging. Turkish MGM aligns at 13°C, consistent with Ankara's March historical mean of 13°C but tempered by recent sub-10°C nights signaling subdued diurnal warming. Traders price in this spread, with lower odds for extremes amid typical late-winter variability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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