Trader consensus on Polymarket favors NYC's March 24 high temperature in the 46-49°F range, propelled by the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF converging on 47-48°F amid a weak upper-level ridge over the Northeast. This follows recent observational data showing moderating trends after colder mid-March air masses, with light winds and partial cloudiness limiting peaks. The razor-thin gap between 46-47°F (28%) and 48-49°F (26.5%) hinges on boundary-layer forecasts: fuller mixing and solar insolation favor the warmer bin, while persistent low-level moisture from Atlantic inflow tips toward cooler. Central Park station readings will resolve amid typical spring forecast divergence refining through March 23 updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月24日紐約市的最高溫度?
3月24日紐約市的最高溫度?
48-49°F 29%
46-47°F 27%
44-45°F 19%
50-51°F 18%
華氏37度或以下
2%
38-39°F
3%
40-41°F
4%
42-43°F
9%
44-45°F
20%
46-47°F
27%
48-49°F
27%
50-51°F
18%
52-53°F
7%
54-55°F
10%
56°F或以上
2%
48-49°F 29%
46-47°F 27%
44-45°F 19%
50-51°F 18%
華氏37度或以下
2%
38-39°F
3%
40-41°F
4%
42-43°F
9%
44-45°F
20%
46-47°F
27%
48-49°F
27%
50-51°F
18%
52-53°F
7%
54-55°F
10%
56°F或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors NYC's March 24 high temperature in the 46-49°F range, propelled by the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF converging on 47-48°F amid a weak upper-level ridge over the Northeast. This follows recent observational data showing moderating trends after colder mid-March air masses, with light winds and partial cloudiness limiting peaks. The razor-thin gap between 46-47°F (28%) and 48-49°F (26.5%) hinges on boundary-layer forecasts: fuller mixing and solar insolation favor the warmer bin, while persistent low-level moisture from Atlantic inflow tips toward cooler. Central Park station readings will resolve amid typical spring forecast divergence refining through March 23 updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions