Trader consensus favors 29°C at 26% implied probability for Sao Paulo's highest temperature on March 27, closely trailed by 30°C and 31°C, reflecting tight forecast model spreads amid lingering summer warmth in Brazil's southeast. Leading Brazilian forecaster INMET projects a daytime high near 30°C under high-pressure subsidence inhibiting cloud formation, while international ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show slight divergence—ECMWF leaning cooler at 29°C due to potential afternoon sea-breeze moderation, GFS hotter at 31-32°C from northerly advection. Urban heat island effects amplify readings at the official IAG station, but historical late-March averages hover at 28°C, with low precipitation risk (10-20%) keeping odds below 25°C minimal; watch INMET's evening update for resolution shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月27日聖保羅的最高溫度?
3月27日聖保羅的最高溫度?
30°C 20%
31°C 20%
29°C 19%
32°C 15%
24°C或以下
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
19%
30°C
20%
31°C
20%
32°C
15%
33°C
7%
34°C或以上
2%
30°C 20%
31°C 20%
29°C 19%
32°C 15%
24°C或以下
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
19%
30°C
20%
31°C
20%
32°C
15%
33°C
7%
34°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 29°C at 26% implied probability for Sao Paulo's highest temperature on March 27, closely trailed by 30°C and 31°C, reflecting tight forecast model spreads amid lingering summer warmth in Brazil's southeast. Leading Brazilian forecaster INMET projects a daytime high near 30°C under high-pressure subsidence inhibiting cloud formation, while international ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show slight divergence—ECMWF leaning cooler at 29°C due to potential afternoon sea-breeze moderation, GFS hotter at 31-32°C from northerly advection. Urban heat island effects amplify readings at the official IAG station, but historical late-March averages hover at 28°C, with low precipitation risk (10-20%) keeping odds below 25°C minimal; watch INMET's evening update for resolution shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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