Trader sentiment for Seattle's March 28 high temperature clusters tightly around 56-59°F, with 56-57°F at 32.5% implied probability edging out rivals, primarily driven by NOAA's Short-Range Ensemble Average (SREF) and GFS model runs projecting peaks of 55-58°F under a weak upper-level ridge and light northerly flow. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing—stronger diurnal heating could push toward 58-59°F (25.5%) if marine stratus clears early, while persistent low clouds favor cooler 54-55°F (24.0%) outcomes, aligning with Seattle's late-March climatology of 54°F averages and 5-10°F daily variability. Historical data shows 30% of similar setups exceed 57°F, but model spread signals uncertainty ahead of afternoon soundings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seattle on March 28?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 28?
56-57°F 33%
54-55°F 29%
58-59°F 26%
52-53°F 15%
51°F or below
3%
52-53°F
10%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
33%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
2%
70°F or higher
1%
56-57°F 33%
54-55°F 29%
58-59°F 26%
52-53°F 15%
51°F or below
3%
52-53°F
10%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
33%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
2%
70°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Seattle's March 28 high temperature clusters tightly around 56-59°F, with 56-57°F at 32.5% implied probability edging out rivals, primarily driven by NOAA's Short-Range Ensemble Average (SREF) and GFS model runs projecting peaks of 55-58°F under a weak upper-level ridge and light northerly flow. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing—stronger diurnal heating could push toward 58-59°F (25.5%) if marine stratus clears early, while persistent low clouds favor cooler 54-55°F (24.0%) outcomes, aligning with Seattle's late-March climatology of 54°F averages and 5-10°F daily variability. Historical data shows 30% of similar setups exceed 57°F, but model spread signals uncertainty ahead of afternoon soundings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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