Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 21–23°C for Taipei's highest temperature on March 28, driven by ensemble weather model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks near 22°C amid a stable high-pressure system and light southerly winds. Recent Central Weather Administration updates highlight partly cloudy conditions limiting solar heating, with morning lows around 19°C supporting diurnal highs in this range, while urban heat island effects could nudge toward 23°C. Historical late-March averages hover at 23°C, but a lingering cool air mass from recent frontal passage differentiates lower outcomes from 24°C+, where full sunshine would be needed—unlikely per current satellite imagery and soundings showing mid-level moisture. Model spread of ±1–2°C underscores resolution uncertainty tied to afternoon cloud evolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Taipei on March 28?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 28?
23°C 20%
21°C 18%
22°C 17%
26°C or higher 14.6%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
9%
19°C
9%
20°C
9%
21°C
18%
22°C
21%
23°C
20%
24°C
13%
25°C
12%
26°C or higher
9%
23°C 20%
21°C 18%
22°C 17%
26°C or higher 14.6%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
9%
19°C
9%
20°C
9%
21°C
18%
22°C
21%
23°C
20%
24°C
13%
25°C
12%
26°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 21–23°C for Taipei's highest temperature on March 28, driven by ensemble weather model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks near 22°C amid a stable high-pressure system and light southerly winds. Recent Central Weather Administration updates highlight partly cloudy conditions limiting solar heating, with morning lows around 19°C supporting diurnal highs in this range, while urban heat island effects could nudge toward 23°C. Historical late-March averages hover at 23°C, but a lingering cool air mass from recent frontal passage differentiates lower outcomes from 24°C+, where full sunshine would be needed—unlikely per current satellite imagery and soundings showing mid-level moisture. Model spread of ±1–2°C underscores resolution uncertainty tied to afternoon cloud evolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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