Trader sentiment for Seoul's highest temperature on March 28 reflects tight clustering around 16-18°C outcomes, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecast projecting a daily high near 16°C amid mild southerly winds, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles show slight divergence up to 17-18°C. This uncertainty stems from variable spring synoptic patterns, including a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing potential cold air advection, against Seoul's urban heat island effect boosting observed maxima by 1-2°C above rural baselines. Historical March 28 highs average 12-14°C, but recent warming trends and model spread explain the 20% odds on 18°C+, with lower bins fading as confirmed soundings rule out extremes. Key watch: KMA's evening update could shift consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
17°C 21%
16°C 19%
18°C or higher 18%
14°C 16%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
10%
12°C
11%
13°C
13%
14°C
16%
15°C
16%
16°C
19%
17°C
21%
18°C or higher
18%
17°C 21%
16°C 19%
18°C or higher 18%
14°C 16%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
10%
12°C
11%
13°C
13%
14°C
16%
15°C
16%
16°C
19%
17°C
21%
18°C or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Seoul's highest temperature on March 28 reflects tight clustering around 16-18°C outcomes, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecast projecting a daily high near 16°C amid mild southerly winds, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles show slight divergence up to 17-18°C. This uncertainty stems from variable spring synoptic patterns, including a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing potential cold air advection, against Seoul's urban heat island effect boosting observed maxima by 1-2°C above rural baselines. Historical March 28 highs average 12-14°C, but recent warming trends and model spread explain the 20% odds on 18°C+, with lower bins fading as confirmed soundings rule out extremes. Key watch: KMA's evening update could shift consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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