Ensemble weather models from ECMWF, GFS, and Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau drive the tight race among 21-23°C outcomes for Taipei's March 27 high, with 22°C leading at 31.5% amid forecasts of scattered clouds and northerly winds capping peaks. Recent model runs show a slight downward shift from earlier 24°C projections, influenced by a lingering cold front fragment dissipating slowly, moderating urban heat island effects in the Taipei Basin. Historical late-March averages hover at 23-24°C, but current sea surface temperatures and weak southerly flows introduce 1-2°C uncertainty, explaining the slim edges over 21°C-or-below (26%) and 23°C (24.5%) as traders weigh ensemble spreads. Key watch: CWB's 12-hour update tomorrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?
21°C or below 26%
22°C 22%
23°C 20%
24°C 15%
$29,400 交易量
$29,400 交易量
21°C or below
26%
22°C
30%
23°C
29%
24°C
15%
25°C
7%
26°C
7%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
21°C or below 26%
22°C 22%
23°C 20%
24°C 15%
$29,400 交易量
$29,400 交易量
21°C or below
26%
22°C
30%
23°C
29%
24°C
15%
25°C
7%
26°C
7%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models from ECMWF, GFS, and Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau drive the tight race among 21-23°C outcomes for Taipei's March 27 high, with 22°C leading at 31.5% amid forecasts of scattered clouds and northerly winds capping peaks. Recent model runs show a slight downward shift from earlier 24°C projections, influenced by a lingering cold front fragment dissipating slowly, moderating urban heat island effects in the Taipei Basin. Historical late-March averages hover at 23-24°C, but current sea surface temperatures and weak southerly flows introduce 1-2°C uncertainty, explaining the slim edges over 21°C-or-below (26%) and 23°C (24.5%) as traders weigh ensemble spreads. Key watch: CWB's 12-hour update tomorrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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