Trader sentiment on Denver's March 29 high temperature shows tight competition between 76-77°F (23%) and 84°F or higher (20.5%), reflecting divergent global forecast models amid a high-pressure ridge building over the Rockies. The National Weather Service's latest guidance clusters around the upper 70s, driven by downslope föhn winds enhancing adiabatic warming at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation, but the GFS model run projects peaks near 85°F while the ECMWF cools to mid-70s due to lingering mid-level clouds and earlier cold-air advection. Ensemble means hover near 77°F, consistent with recent observed warming trends from departing Pacific moisture, though model spread highlights uncertainty in ridge amplitude and solar insolation. New 00Z forecasts tonight could sharpen the outlook before observations resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on March 29?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 29?
76-77°F 23%
84°F or higher 21%
78-79°F 14.1%
80-81°F 10.6%
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
9%
84°F or higher
21%
76-77°F 23%
84°F or higher 21%
78-79°F 14.1%
80-81°F 10.6%
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
9%
84°F or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Denver's March 29 high temperature shows tight competition between 76-77°F (23%) and 84°F or higher (20.5%), reflecting divergent global forecast models amid a high-pressure ridge building over the Rockies. The National Weather Service's latest guidance clusters around the upper 70s, driven by downslope föhn winds enhancing adiabatic warming at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation, but the GFS model run projects peaks near 85°F while the ECMWF cools to mid-70s due to lingering mid-level clouds and earlier cold-air advection. Ensemble means hover near 77°F, consistent with recent observed warming trends from departing Pacific moisture, though model spread highlights uncertainty in ridge amplitude and solar insolation. New 00Z forecasts tonight could sharpen the outlook before observations resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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