Latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward a high of 52-55°F in Denver on March 27, with 54-55°F edging ahead at 27% implied probability amid tight clustering around 50-55°F. A lingering upper-level trough over the Rockies promotes cooler mid-level temperatures and scattered cloud cover, capping highs below seasonal norms of ~57°F, while subtle differences in model depictions of afternoon boundary layer mixing and light southerly winds differentiate the top bins—ECMWF leans slightly warmer (54-55°F) versus GFS cooler (52-53°F). Diurnal maximum sensitivity to exact frontal timing adds uncertainty, with official observations from DEN airport resolving the market. Traders eye 00z updates for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?
52-53°F 29%
54-55°F 27%
50-51°F 23%
56-57°F 14%
49°F or below
10%
50-51°F
23%
52-53°F
22%
54-55°F
27%
56-57°F
10%
58-59°F
10%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
2%
68°F or higher
2%
52-53°F 29%
54-55°F 27%
50-51°F 23%
56-57°F 14%
49°F or below
10%
50-51°F
23%
52-53°F
22%
54-55°F
27%
56-57°F
10%
58-59°F
10%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
2%
68°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward a high of 52-55°F in Denver on March 27, with 54-55°F edging ahead at 27% implied probability amid tight clustering around 50-55°F. A lingering upper-level trough over the Rockies promotes cooler mid-level temperatures and scattered cloud cover, capping highs below seasonal norms of ~57°F, while subtle differences in model depictions of afternoon boundary layer mixing and light southerly winds differentiate the top bins—ECMWF leans slightly warmer (54-55°F) versus GFS cooler (52-53°F). Diurnal maximum sensitivity to exact frontal timing adds uncertainty, with official observations from DEN airport resolving the market. Traders eye 00z updates for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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