Consensus forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models like ECMWF project a high of 28-30°C in Buenos Aires on March 28, fueling 65.5% market-implied odds for 27°C or higher amid an extended autumn heat spell. Recent observations show highs of 32°C on March 27 and 31°C prior, driven by northerly winds advecting warm, humid air from subtropical regions, with minimal cooling from anticipated southerly shifts. Ensemble model spreads indicate low uncertainty around 27°C, positioning 26°C (19%) as the next likely outcome if cloud cover increases; historical March averages of 24°C underscore the anomaly, though traders price in persistence of current ridge pattern. Upcoming hourly updates from SMN could refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 28?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 28?
27°C or higher 66%
26°C 19%
25°C 9%
24°C 6%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
9%
26°C
19%
27°C or higher
66%
27°C or higher 66%
26°C 19%
25°C 9%
24°C 6%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
9%
26°C
19%
27°C or higher
66%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Consensus forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models like ECMWF project a high of 28-30°C in Buenos Aires on March 28, fueling 65.5% market-implied odds for 27°C or higher amid an extended autumn heat spell. Recent observations show highs of 32°C on March 27 and 31°C prior, driven by northerly winds advecting warm, humid air from subtropical regions, with minimal cooling from anticipated southerly shifts. Ensemble model spreads indicate low uncertainty around 27°C, positioning 26°C (19%) as the next likely outcome if cloud cover increases; historical March averages of 24°C underscore the anomaly, though traders price in persistence of current ridge pattern. Upcoming hourly updates from SMN could refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions