Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS project Sao Paulo's highest temperature on March 24 at 29-30°C, anchoring trader sentiment with 39.5% implied odds for 29°C and 33.5% for 30°C amid tight competition. Key differentiators include afternoon sea breeze penetration, potentially capping peaks at 29°C by enhancing coastal cooling, versus persistent high-pressure ridges amplifying urban heat island effects toward 30°C. Recent 00z runs show convergence within 1°C spread, tempered by March climatology averaging 28°C highs with low exceedance above 31°C. INMET's next update could sway margins, as station-specific measurements at Congonhas Airport resolve markets.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 24?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 24?
29°C 37%
28°C 30%
30°C 21%
31°C 17%
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
23%
29°C
39%
30°C
33%
31°C
17%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
2%
29°C 37%
28°C 30%
30°C 21%
31°C 17%
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
23%
29°C
39%
30°C
33%
31°C
17%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS project Sao Paulo's highest temperature on March 24 at 29-30°C, anchoring trader sentiment with 39.5% implied odds for 29°C and 33.5% for 30°C amid tight competition. Key differentiators include afternoon sea breeze penetration, potentially capping peaks at 29°C by enhancing coastal cooling, versus persistent high-pressure ridges amplifying urban heat island effects toward 30°C. Recent 00z runs show convergence within 1°C spread, tempered by March climatology averaging 28°C highs with low exceedance above 31°C. INMET's next update could sway margins, as station-specific measurements at Congonhas Airport resolve markets.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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