Trader sentiment on Sao Paulo's highest temperature March 23 tilts toward 29°C (30%) and 28°C (26%), driven by ensemble weather model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS projecting afternoon peaks of 28-30°C amid lingering summer warmth. Recent INMET updates highlight light southerly winds moderating urban heat island effects, potentially capping highs below 30°C, while partial cloud cover from Atlantic moisture introduces variability differentiating 27°C (13.5%) outcomes. Historical March averages hover at 27.5°C, but above-normal sea surface temperatures boost implied odds for 30°C (17.5%); watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs for shifts, as small convective developments could swing the maximum by 1-2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 23?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 23?
29°C 33%
28°C 24%
30°C 16%
27°C 6.0%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
27%
29°C
33%
30°C
16%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 33%
28°C 24%
30°C 16%
27°C 6.0%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
27%
29°C
33%
30°C
16%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Sao Paulo's highest temperature March 23 tilts toward 29°C (30%) and 28°C (26%), driven by ensemble weather model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS projecting afternoon peaks of 28-30°C amid lingering summer warmth. Recent INMET updates highlight light southerly winds moderating urban heat island effects, potentially capping highs below 30°C, while partial cloud cover from Atlantic moisture introduces variability differentiating 27°C (13.5%) outcomes. Historical March averages hover at 27.5°C, but above-normal sea surface temperatures boost implied odds for 30°C (17.5%); watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs for shifts, as small convective developments could swing the maximum by 1-2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions