Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between 16°C (33.5%) and 17°C (32.0%) as the highest temperature at Seoul's official station today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast projecting a late-afternoon peak near 17°C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and low precipitation risk. Yesterday's milder high of around 14°C gives way to modest warming from southerly flow and seasonal solar angle progression, but uncertainty lingers in cloud thickness—thicker overcast could suppress insolation and hold at 16°C, while breaks might push toward 18°C (14.5%). KMA hourly updates through evening and real-time observations will sharpen resolution amid March's typical variability, where averages hover near 12–13°C but daily swings exceed 5°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on March 30?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 30?
17°C 40%
16°C 31%
18°C 24%
19°C 2.8%
$129,182 交易量
$129,182 交易量
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
31%
17°C
40%
18°C
24%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
2%
17°C 40%
16°C 31%
18°C 24%
19°C 2.8%
$129,182 交易量
$129,182 交易量
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
31%
17°C
40%
18°C
24%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between 16°C (33.5%) and 17°C (32.0%) as the highest temperature at Seoul's official station today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast projecting a late-afternoon peak near 17°C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and low precipitation risk. Yesterday's milder high of around 14°C gives way to modest warming from southerly flow and seasonal solar angle progression, but uncertainty lingers in cloud thickness—thicker overcast could suppress insolation and hold at 16°C, while breaks might push toward 18°C (14.5%). KMA hourly updates through evening and real-time observations will sharpen resolution amid March's typical variability, where averages hover near 12–13°C but daily swings exceed 5°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions