Trader sentiment for Seattle's March 29 high temperature hinges on the National Weather Service's latest forecast of near 52°F under sunny skies from a persistent high-pressure ridge, boosting odds for the 52-53°F bin to 23.5% while keeping 56°F or higher viable at 23.0% amid model spread. Differentiating factors include GFS and ECMWF ensembles converging on mid-50s but with warm-air advection potential from southerly flow pushing outliers higher, versus cooler marine influences capping others at 50-51°F (21.0%). Historical late-March averages hover around 54°F, but diurnal variability and minimal cloud cover introduce 3-5°F uncertainty; traders eye tomorrow's 12Z model runs for resolution shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seattle on March 29?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 29?
52-53°F 24%
56°F or higher 23%
50-51°F 21%
54-55°F 17%
37°F or below
1%
38-39°F
6%
40-41°F
9%
42-43°F
10%
44-45°F
11%
46-47°F
11%
48-49°F
11%
50-51°F
21%
52-53°F
24%
54-55°F
17%
56°F or higher
23%
52-53°F 24%
56°F or higher 23%
50-51°F 21%
54-55°F 17%
37°F or below
1%
38-39°F
6%
40-41°F
9%
42-43°F
10%
44-45°F
11%
46-47°F
11%
48-49°F
11%
50-51°F
21%
52-53°F
24%
54-55°F
17%
56°F or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Seattle's March 29 high temperature hinges on the National Weather Service's latest forecast of near 52°F under sunny skies from a persistent high-pressure ridge, boosting odds for the 52-53°F bin to 23.5% while keeping 56°F or higher viable at 23.0% amid model spread. Differentiating factors include GFS and ECMWF ensembles converging on mid-50s but with warm-air advection potential from southerly flow pushing outliers higher, versus cooler marine influences capping others at 50-51°F (21.0%). Historical late-March averages hover around 54°F, but diurnal variability and minimal cloud cover introduce 3-5°F uncertainty; traders eye tomorrow's 12Z model runs for resolution shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions