Trader consensus on Polymarket's highest temperature market for Ankara on March 30 favors 7°C at 45.5% implied probability, closely followed by 8°C at 31%, reflecting tight alignment from ensemble forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs of 7-8°C. This positioning stems from recent advection of a cool air mass over central Turkey, introducing persistent cloud cover and light showers that limit solar insolation, a sharp contrast to warmer highs of 17°C on March 28 and 10°C on March 29 reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM). Below-average late-March conditions—versus climatological highs near 12°C—are reinforced by northerly winds and high humidity, though small model spreads leave room for minor upside to 9°C if clearing occurs. Official MGM hourly updates and station observations at Esenboğa Airport will refine the peak temperature by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月30日安卡拉的最高溫度?
3月30日安卡拉的最高溫度?
7°C 45%
8°C 31%
6°C 13%
9°C或更高 8.4%
$47,670 交易量
$47,670 交易量
5°C
2%
6°C
13%
7°C
45%
8°C
31%
9°C或更高
8%
7°C 45%
8°C 31%
6°C 13%
9°C或更高 8.4%
$47,670 交易量
$47,670 交易量
5°C
2%
6°C
13%
7°C
45%
8°C
31%
9°C或更高
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's highest temperature market for Ankara on March 30 favors 7°C at 45.5% implied probability, closely followed by 8°C at 31%, reflecting tight alignment from ensemble forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs of 7-8°C. This positioning stems from recent advection of a cool air mass over central Turkey, introducing persistent cloud cover and light showers that limit solar insolation, a sharp contrast to warmer highs of 17°C on March 28 and 10°C on March 29 reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM). Below-average late-March conditions—versus climatological highs near 12°C—are reinforced by northerly winds and high humidity, though small model spreads leave room for minor upside to 9°C if clearing occurs. Official MGM hourly updates and station observations at Esenboğa Airport will refine the peak temperature by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions