Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 80-81°F (24.5%) and 84-85°F (22.5%) for Dallas's highest temperature on March 29, reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) guidance holding at a high near 84°F under sunny skies and south winds of 10-15 mph, backed by GFS and ECMWF ensemble means of 83-85°F. A high-pressure ridge building over Texas has driven this warming trend over the past week, resolving earlier cooler model biases, though minor divergences persist in peak afternoon heating potential and thin cloud influences. Late-March climatology averages 72°F, marking this as an above-normal outlier; watch for tonight's 00Z model runs and NWS morning update, which could refine the 2-3°F spread amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月29日達拉斯的最高溫度?
3月29日達拉斯的最高溫度?
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 23%
78-79°F 20%
82-83°F 19%
華氏73度或以下
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
23%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
2%
華氏92度或更高
2%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 23%
78-79°F 20%
82-83°F 19%
華氏73度或以下
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
23%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
2%
華氏92度或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 80-81°F (24.5%) and 84-85°F (22.5%) for Dallas's highest temperature on March 29, reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) guidance holding at a high near 84°F under sunny skies and south winds of 10-15 mph, backed by GFS and ECMWF ensemble means of 83-85°F. A high-pressure ridge building over Texas has driven this warming trend over the past week, resolving earlier cooler model biases, though minor divergences persist in peak afternoon heating potential and thin cloud influences. Late-March climatology averages 72°F, marking this as an above-normal outlier; watch for tonight's 00Z model runs and NWS morning update, which could refine the 2-3°F spread amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions